DATE: TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2026
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SECTION: WORLD
El Niño Strengthens to 'Unprecedented Levels', Warming Oceans and Global Temperatures

El Niño Strengthens to 'Unprecedented Levels', Warming Oceans and Global Temperatures

Oct 14, 2026 - 02:52
Super El Niño sets another record as it strengthens to 'unprecedented levels'
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Key Highlights

  • El Niño reaches unprecedented levels of strength.
  • Pacific Ocean warms at record-breaking rates.
  • Global temperatures expected to set new records.

El Niño, a naturally occurring climate pattern, has reached unprecedented levels of strength, with the Pacific Ocean warming at an alarming rate. The phenomenon, which occurs every two to seven years, tends to last for around a year. However, its impact is already being felt across the globe.

noting that we are currently witnessing an El Niño event that is unprecedented in the historical record. Dr. Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at Berkeley Earth, told the BBC.

The strength of El Niño this year is spilling out of the traditional El Niño region. And we are seeing record-breaking temperatures and ocean warmth across the Pacific and into the Gulf of Mexico.

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Historic highs are being recorded in the central Pacific, with sea-surface temperatures averaging a staggering weekly total. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has confirmed this, marking a significant milestone. The region has also witnessed extraordinary daily temperature spikes, surpassing the previous record set during the intense 2015 El Niño event.

Graphic showing the sea surface temperature - compared with 1991-2020 average - for different years. Four mini globes mapping the El Niño region show the warmer than average temperatures for Dec 1972, 1982, 1997 and 2015. A larger globe of the eastern Pacific showing much more red and orange - and therefore warmth for Dec 2026 (forecast)
Image caption, El Niño this year is creating new ocean temperature records in a background of overall ocean warming due to human-induced climate change, seen especially when comparing previous record El Niño events

As El Niño intensifies, the oceans release a surge of heat into the atmosphere, contributing to a global temperature spike. Despite ongoing research, the World Meteorological Organization has yet to uncover conclusive evidence linking El Niño to increased frequency or intensity. Scientists continue to scrutinize the phenomenon.

El Niño'It's influence is already being felt across parts of the world. With growing concerns over food security in parts of East Africa and the Asia-Pacific.

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The phenomenon has been linked to severe droughts and wildfires in south-east Asia, and devastating floods in East Africa.

Forecasts from both the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration indicate El Niño is likely to peak in December. With the potential to set new records for global temperatures.

Torrent of flood waters raging through a settlement with people stranded on the roof of their building surrounded by flood water
Image caption, The 1997-98 super El Niño brought devastating floods throughout Ecuador

Dr. and are likely to set new records by a remarkable amount.

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I write about the forces shaping business and the global economy, from startup growth and changing markets to international trade and policy. My work focuses on breaking down complex developments into clear, practical insights and understanding what they could mean for businesses, investors, and the wider economy.

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